Thursday, Nov 5, 2026 · 2 games. Players due for threes, and players running hot, over their last 3 games.
STAT
🔥 RUNNING HOT · BANKED MAKES
players · ranked by banked per game · conversion running above his own baseline
📈 DUE · OWED MAKES
players · ranked by owed per game · conversion running cold on real volume
No players match that filter tonight.
Read this first: in the 2025-26 backtest (3,986 player-games), players flagged DUE made about 97% of their expected threes the next game, 2.47 actual vs 2.54 expected. Owed describes the last 3 games. It is not a prediction, it never moves a projection, and the sim Over% on every card is the real probability.
How the meter works. Expected = last-3 attempts x his two-season 3P% (2024-25 + 2025-26, derived from play-by-play; the made totals cross-check exactly against the game logs). Owed per game = (expected - actual) / 3. Owed Score = |owed per game| x 9, cap 10. Volume = last-3 attempts per game x 1.2. Role = tonight's sim minutes / 3.6. Matchup = opponent's 3PM defense rank against his position (site DvP grid, 2025-26 cut) / 3. Board gates: at least 5 attempts a game over the last 3, at least 10 career games in the store, active tonight (Out and Doubtful excluded). A player whose last-3 window holds no current-season game is tagged STALE with the window dates shown, not dropped: a stale tag can be our data coverage, not the player sitting out.
Read this first: Backtest (2025-26): players flagged DUE scored about 97% of their expected points the next game - no bounce-back, and hot players did not cool off. This describes the last 3 games. It is not a prediction. The sim numbers on every card are the real probability.
🔥 RUNNING HOT · BANKED POINTS
players · ranked by banked share of expected · production running above his own baseline
📈 DUE · OWED POINTS
players · ranked by owed share of expected · production running cold on real minutes
No players match that filter tonight.
How the PTS meter works. Expected = his two-season per-minute rate (2024-25 + 2025-26 regular season, from the game logs) x the minutes he played. Owed per game = (expected - actual) / 3 over the last 3 games, boarded as a share of his expected per game: DUE at +10% or more, HOT at -10% or more. Owed Score = that share scaled so a 20% gap is a 10. Minutes = last-3 minutes per game / 3.6. Role = tonight's sim minutes / 3.6. Matchup = opponent's PTS defense rank against his position (site DvP grid, 2025-26 cut) / 3. Board gates: at least 20 minutes a game over the last 3, at least 10 career games in the store, at least 200 two-season baseline minutes, active tonight (Out and Doubtful excluded). Players inside +/-10% of expected per game are even and are not boarded; tonight that is Desmond Bane, Miles Bridges, Giannis Antetokounmpo and De'Anthony Melton. A player whose last-3 window holds no current-season game is tagged STALE with the window dates shown, not dropped.
Read this first: Backtest (2025-26): players flagged DUE grabbed about 95% of their expected rebounds the next game - no bounce-back, and hot players did not cool off. This describes the last 3 games. It is not a prediction. The sim numbers on every card are the real probability.
🔥 RUNNING HOT · BANKED REBOUNDS
players · ranked by banked share of expected · production running above his own baseline
📈 DUE · OWED REBOUNDS
players · ranked by owed share of expected · production running cold on real minutes
No players match that filter tonight.
How the REB meter works. Expected = his two-season per-minute rate (2024-25 + 2025-26 regular season, from the game logs) x the minutes he played. Owed per game = (expected - actual) / 3 over the last 3 games, boarded as a share of his expected per game: DUE at +10% or more, HOT at -10% or more. Owed Score = that share scaled so a 20% gap is a 10. Minutes = last-3 minutes per game / 3.6. Role = tonight's sim minutes / 3.6. Matchup = opponent's REB defense rank against his position (site DvP grid, 2025-26 cut) / 3. Board gates: at least 20 minutes a game over the last 3, at least 10 career games in the store, at least 200 two-season baseline minutes, active tonight (Out and Doubtful excluded). Players inside +/-10% of expected per game are even and are not boarded; tonight that is Wendell Carter Jr., Tristan da Silva, Jalen Green, Miles Bridges, Oso Ighodaro, Bam Adebayo, Will Richard and Draymond Green. A player whose last-3 window holds no current-season game is tagged STALE with the window dates shown, not dropped.
Read this first: Backtest (2025-26): players flagged DUE dished about 95% of their expected assists the next game - no bounce-back, and hot players did not cool off. This describes the last 3 games. It is not a prediction. The sim numbers on every card are the real probability.
🔥 RUNNING HOT · BANKED ASSISTS
players · ranked by banked share of expected · production running above his own baseline
📈 DUE · OWED ASSISTS
players · ranked by owed share of expected · production running cold on real minutes
No players match that filter tonight.
How the AST meter works. Expected = his two-season per-minute rate (2024-25 + 2025-26 regular season, from the game logs) x the minutes he played. Owed per game = (expected - actual) / 3 over the last 3 games, boarded as a share of his expected per game: DUE at +10% or more, HOT at -10% or more. Owed Score = that share scaled so a 20% gap is a 10. Minutes = last-3 minutes per game / 3.6. Role = tonight's sim minutes / 3.6. Matchup = opponent's AST defense rank against his position (site DvP grid, 2025-26 cut) / 3. Board gates: at least 20 minutes a game over the last 3, at least 10 career games in the store, at least 200 two-season baseline minutes, active tonight (Out and Doubtful excluded). Players inside +/-10% of expected per game are even and are not boarded; tonight that is Collin Gillespie, Bam Adebayo, Draymond Green and De'Anthony Melton. A player whose last-3 window holds no current-season game is tagged STALE with the window dates shown, not dropped.