NBA

In Season · Thursday, November 5, 2026

Last refresh Nov 5, 2026 at 5:13 AM ET

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MIA
MIAMI
Heat
3-5 · Pace 103.5 (#2)
TONIGHT · 10:00 PM ET · NBA TV
SIM WIN % · 10,000 SIMS
48.7%-51.3%
Projected 120 - 121Median total 242Sim spread GSW -1Book GS -7.5 · O/U 235.5
GOLDEN STATE
Warriors
5-3 · Pace 98.2 (#23)
GSW

INJURIES

Updated 7:12 AM ET
GSW · 4 listed
Gui SantosKnee tendinitis
OUT
Kristaps PorzingisNot with team
OUT
Moses MoodyPatellar tendon repair
OUT
Jimmy Butler IIIACL tear - out for season
OUT
MIA - no injuries reported
Full impact in each player's Scouting Report

TEAM STATS

2026-27 · rank of 30
MIA
GSW
EFFICIENCY
115.8#12
Off Rtg
#8116.8
115.5#16
Def Rtg
#20116.0
+0.2#17
Net Rtg
#16+0.8
SHOOTING
54.3%#12
eFG%
#755.1%
55.0%#22
Opp eFG%
#2655.6%
35.4%#15
3P%
#537.4%
POSSESSION
103.5#2
Pace
#2398.2
12.0%#5
TOV%
#2614.2%
13.2%#15
Opp TOV%
#414.7%
25.1%#19
Off Reb%
#728.8%

TOP PROPS

Sim % at the line
Stephen CurryPTS 19+
BAND PICK
71%
Davion MitchellPTS 9.5
LADDER
65%
Will RichardPTS 6.5
LADDER
46%
Brandin PodziemskiREB 5.5
LADDER
44%
Full cheat sheet continues below
▶ Watch Game Simulation
Team StatusDefense vs PositionProps to Watch⏰ Halftime CheckerProp StreaksProp Ladders
TEAM2026-27 FantasyPros, updated every morning - very small samples this early.
MIAMIA43-39
OFFENSE
PTS#2
120.9
2nd most
REB#4
46.3
4th most
AST#5
29
5th most
STL#13
8.6
13th most
3PM#15
13.7
15th most
DEFENSE
PTS AGST#22
118.5
9th most
REB AGST#26
46.4
5th most
AST AGST#21
27.5
10th most
STL AGST#8
7.9
8th fewest
3PM AGST#24
14
7th most
GSWGSW37-45
OFFENSE
PTS#21
114.6
10th fewest
REB#21
42.3
10th fewest
AST#6
28.9
6th most
STL#2
9.7
2nd most
3PM#2
15.7
2nd most
DEFENSE
PTS AGST#14
115.2
14th fewest
REB AGST#18
44.2
13th most
AST AGST#17
27.1
14th most
STL AGST#21
8.8
10th most
3PM AGST#14
12.9
14th fewest
• OFFENSE: #1 = most per game (green = top 10)
• DEFENSE: #1 = fewest allowed (toughest). Green = softest 10 (most allowed), red = toughest 10
• White = middle 10
PERIOD
TEAMPTSPTS AGSTREBAST3PM
MIAMIA
GSWGSW
Per-game averages by period · 2025-26 regular season · quarters exclude OT (OT scoring: MIA 0.1 pts/gm, GSW 0.6 pts/gm)
GOLD= Top 10SILVER= 11-30# = NBA rankMIN minutes · USG usage · PTS/REB/AST per game · 3PM threes · STOCKS steals+blocks · 2026-27 avgs, 2+ GP
DVPFantasyPros defense vs position, 2026-27 season - updated every morning, very small samples this early.
MIA

MIA players

vs GSW defense GSW
MIAPointsPTSReboundsREBAssistsAST3PT3PMStealsSTLPARPARPRPRPAPARARA
Davion MitchellDavionMitchellAST #21AST #22PG
#28
3rd Most
31.2
#21
10th Most
6.3
#23
8th Most
9.5
#22
9th Most
3.8
#26
5th Most
2.4
#28
3rd Most
47.0
#28
3rd Most
37.5
#28
3rd Most
40.6
#24
7th Most
15.8
Klay ThompsonKlayThompson3PM #193PM #19SG
#12
Neutral
21.2
#17
Neutral
6.6
#21
10th Most
5.1
#6
6th Least
2.7
#27
4th Most
2.4
#14
Neutral
32.9
#12
Neutral
27.8
#15
Neutral
26.3
#18
Neutral
11.7
Andrew WigginsAndrewWigginsSF
#12
Neutral
20.0
#18
Neutral
8.6
#9
9th Least
3.6
#5
5th Least
1.9
#8
8th Least
1.3
#11
Neutral
32.2
#13
Neutral
28.6
#11
Neutral
23.6
#17
Neutral
12.2
Giannis AntetokounmpoGiannisAntetokounmpoPTS #9REB #12USG #11PTS #9PF
#13
Neutral
21.9
#4
4th Least
8.6
#14
Neutral
4.2
#21
10th Most
2.7
#27
4th Most
2.0
#8
8th Least
34.8
#11
Neutral
30.6
#14
Neutral
26.1
#5
5th Least
12.8
Bam AdebayoBamAdebayoREB #11REB #15C
#3
3rd Least
17.8
#6
6th Least
12.6
#14
Neutral
4.4
#4
4th Least
0.5
#15
Neutral
1.4
#5
5th Least
34.7
#2
2nd Least
30.4
#5
5th Least
22.2
#6
6th Least
16.9
GSW

GSW players

vs MIA defense MIA
GSWPointsPTSReboundsREBAssistsAST3PT3PMStealsSTLPARPARPRPRPAPARARA
Stephen CurryStephenCurryUSG #5PTS #12USG #9PTS #12PG
#29
2nd Most
33.2
#18
Neutral
6.1
#19
Neutral
8.8
#29
2nd Most
4.7
#10
10th Least
1.6
#29
2nd Most
48.1
#30
1st Most
39.3
#29
2nd Most
42.0
#18
Neutral
14.9
Brandin PodziemskiBrandinPodziemskiSG
#30
1st Most
27.8
#24
7th Most
7.3
#18
Neutral
5.0
#29
2nd Most
4.6
#1
1st Least
0.9
#30
1st Most
40.0
#30
1st Most
35.0
#30
1st Most
32.7
#22
9th Most
12.2
Will RichardWillRichardSF
#5
5th Least
17.1
#20
11th Most
8.8
#29
2nd Most
6.5
#8
8th Least
2.2
#29
2nd Most
2.6
#13
Neutral
32.4
#4
4th Least
25.9
#10
10th Least
23.6
#28
3rd Most
15.4
Yaxel LendeborgYaxelLendeborgPF (SF)
#10
10th Least
21.3
#11
Neutral
9.7
#24
7th Most
5.2
#27
4th Most
3.2
#24
7th Most
1.9
#13
Neutral
36.1
#13
Neutral
30.9
#16
Neutral
26.5
#14
Neutral
14.8
Draymond GreenDraymondGreenC
#10
10th Least
19.5
#16
Neutral
15.0
#9
9th Least
3.8
#21
10th Most
1.3
#8
8th Least
1.2
#12
Neutral
38.3
#13
Neutral
34.5
#9
9th Least
23.3
#15
Neutral
18.8
Per-game change in games the starter missed in 2025-26 vs games he played (teammates with 5+ of those games). Directional, not a projection - the sims price the full ripple when a sit is confirmed.
1
Brandin Podziemski
Brandin Podziemski o2.5 3PM
Soft vs SG all season (#29) + L7 (#29) · no potential data · hit 4 of 10
2
Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry o4.5 3PM
Soft vs PG all season (#29) + L7 (#28) · no potential data · hit 3 of 10
3
Yaxel Lendeborg
Yaxel Lendeborg o0.5 STL
Soft vs SF all season (#29) + L7 (#30) · no potential data · hit 0 of 0
Minutes watch - soft matchup but not ranked:
⏳ Tim Hardaway Jr. STL - bench role - minutes not bankable
⏳ Dru Smith PTS - bench role - minutes not bankable
⏳ Ryan Conwell PTS - bench role - minutes not bankable
⏳ Myron Gardner STL - bench role - minutes not bankable
⏳ Tre Donaldson PTS - bench role - minutes not bankable
⏳ Jimmy Butler III AST - bench role - minutes not bankable
+7 more not ranked (minutes risk)
Ranked: projected starters only · favorable vs position in both season and L7 · 🩹 players excluded until confirmed.
58ACTIVE STREAKS (4+)
10AT 10+ GAMES
17LONGEST
away game home game
Filters combine. Streaks use regular-season games vs current lines; combo lines are the sum of component lines.
Book price is the median across the books posting that step. Season and Last 10 are hit rates from the player's own game logs at that step. Fair price is the price the season hit rate implies.
Legend
🩹 Day-to-day / game-time decision / returning from injury
GOLD = Top 10 · SILVER = 11-30 · # = NBA rank · MIN minutes, USG usage, PTS/REB/AST per game, 3PM threes, STOCKS steals+blocks · card badges: 2026-27 avgs, 2+ GP (2025-26 avgs, 20+ GP for players yet to appear this season) · DvP matrix badges follow the DVP toggle
DvP rank: 1 = toughest defense vs that position, 30 = softest (higher # = softer)
Potential = FGA (pts) / potential assists / rebound chances / deflections · 2025-26 Hoops Junkie per-game (top-50 lists only)
Positions cross-checked: ESPN depth chart + RotoWire projected/confirmed · lineup checks run staggered through the day